13 Aug 2024
25m

How a popular trade collapsed — and why it matters

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This podcast episode delves into the dynamics of the yen carry trade, shedding light on its popularity amidst Japan's low interest rates and the impact of recent economic shifts. Experts Kamakshya Trivedi and Praneet Shah discuss how the unwinding of this trade, prompted by a narrowing interest rate differential and market volatility, illustrates the interconnectedness of financial markets and the complexities of institutional versus speculative trading flows. They caution about the risks of complacency in crowded positions but affirm the enduring relevance of carry trades, ultimately suggesting that the future of these investments hinges on stabilizing yen volatility and a healthier US economic outlook.

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